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Frequently Asked Questions

How do meteorologists predict the weather?

Predicting the weather is a process involving many different methods that meteorologists (scientists who study weather) use, including: forecasting tools - satellite, radar, and surface maps (which show high and low pressure areas) help meteorologists to learn the patterns of the atmosphere and why weather happens.

Which weather forecast is the most reliable?

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Which weather model is most accurate?

The two best-known NWP models are the National Weather Service’s Global Forecast System, or GFS, and the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecast, known as the ECMWF model. They are also known as the American and European models, respectively. Generally speaking, the European model has produced the most accurate global weather forecasts.

Are weather forecasts always accurate?

Despite popular belief, forecasts are not created equal when it comes to accuracy. Believe it or not, the next day or even two-day forecasts are fairly accurate. They may miss a little but meteorologists have a pretty high confidence in what will happen. Once you get further down the road that confidence begins to drop off.

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